
SB PROP @ ARL $ARLP024
ARLP024 Propagation de KT7H

ZCZC AP38
QST de W1AW
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 24  ARLP024
From Tad Cook, KT7H
Seattle, WA  June 17, 1994
To all radio amateurs

SB PROP ARL ARLP024
ARLP024 Propagation de KT7H

Solar flux was up about 15 points last week, but still stayed below
90.  Disturbed conditions peaked on the 12th, when the K index
reached 5 for a single three hour period, and the A index for the
day was 22.  Since then conditions have been improving, with the
solar flux slowly rising and the geomagnetic field becoming more
stable.

An event on June 12 was supposed to cause a disturbance before the
end of the week, but nothing happened.  Look for the A index to stay
low until a recurring coronal hole reappears around June 26.  Solar
flux should peak near 90 over the next few days, and then drop back
to around 70 from June 25 though July 4.

Sunspot Numbers from June 9 through 15 were 62, 70, 80, 89, 73, 88
and 96, with a mean of 78.3.  10.7 cm flux was 83, 85.4, 86.4, 86.3,
85, 85.3 and 88.2, with a mean of 85.7.

The path projection for this week is from Omaha, Nebraska to Angola.

Check 80 meters from 0130 to 0500z, and 40 meters from 0100 to 0600.
30 meters looks good from 0000 to 0330 and again from 0530 to 0645.
20 meters should be open from 2200 to 0200, and again from 0600 to
0730.  17 meters should be open on most days from 1830 to 0000.  10,
12 and 15 meters do not look good over this path at this time.
NNNN
/EX
